China’s need for vast amounts of minerals to sustain its high economic growth rate has led Chinese investors to acquire stakes in natural resource companies, extend loans to mining and petroleum investors, and write long-term procurement contracts for oil and minerals in Africa, Latin America, Australia, Canada, and other resource-rich regions. These efforts [...]
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Posted on February 22nd, 2012
Posted on February 20th, 2012
Publisher: FEEM (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei) Topics: commodities, financial markets, interactions finance-economy What is the role of financial speculation in determining the real oil price? We find that while macroeconomic shocks have been the major upward driver of the real oil price since the mid 1980s, also financial shocks have sizably contributed since the early 2000s, and at a much larger extent since the mid [...] Posted on February 13th, 2012
Publisher: CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission) Topics: commodities, derivatives, financial regulation The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is adopting amendments to its existing part 4 regulations and promulgating one new regulation regarding Commodity Pool Operators and Commodity Trading Advisors. The Commission is also adopting new data collections for CPOs and CTAs that are consistent with a data collection required under the Dodd-Frank Act for entities [...] Posted on February 7th, 2012
This paper investigates the relationship between futures prices and financial investments in derivatives of the main agricultural commodities. It first provides a broad picture of how these markets function and how they have evolved, showing that traders who deal mostly in commodity index investments (swap dealers) have gained importance since the mid-2000s. However, [...] Posted on January 30th, 2012
Recently, there has been increased interest in real-time forecasts of the real price of crude oil. Standard oil price forecasts based on reduced-form regressions or based on oil futures prices do not allow consumers of forecasts to explore how much the forecast would change relative to the baseline forecast under alternative scenarios about [...] 20 pages
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