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       Posted on February 19th, 2012

Life and Death Proposition

According to Bill Gross, when interest rates approach zero they may transition from historically stimulative to potentially destimulative/regressive influences.

 Source: PIMCO


       Posted on April 4th, 2011

Skunked – PIMCO Investment Outlook – April 2011

Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security now account for 44% of total federal spending and are steadily rising.
Previous Congresses (and Administrations) have relied on the assumption that we can grow our way out of this onerous debt burden.
Unless entitlements are substantially reformed, the U.S. will likely default on its debt; not in conventional ways, but via [...]


       Posted on March 7th, 2011

Two-Bits, Four-Bits, Six-Bits, a Dollar

A successful handoff from public to private credit creation has yet to be accomplished, and it is that handoff that ultimately will determine the outlook for real growth and stability. Because quantitative easing has affected all risk spreads, the withdrawal of nearly $1.5 trillion in annualized check writing may have dramatic consequences. Who [...]


       Posted on February 6th, 2011

Devil’s Bargain

Highlights:

Money has become the economic and political wedge for profound changes in American society.
Perhaps the most deceptive policy tool to lessen debt loads is the “negative” or exceedingly low real interest rate that central banks impose on savers and debt holders.
Old-fashioned gilts and Treasury bonds may need to be “exorcised” from model portfolios and replaced [...]


       Posted on January 11th, 2011

Off With Our Heads!

Highlights:

American politicians and citizens alike have no clear vision of the costs of a seemingly perpetual trillion-dollar annual deficit.
Policy stimulus is focused on maintaining current consumption as opposed to making the United States more competitive in the global marketplace.
Dollar depreciation will sap the purchasing power of U.S. consumers, as well as the global valuation of [...]


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